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Russia and Eurasia

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October 2003
US-Russian Relations: Between Realism and Reality
by Celeste A. Wallander
"If only realism could prevail, one is tempted to hope, the United States and Russia could work together to meet their common interests in security, stability, and prosperity. Reality, however, just keeps getting in the way."

October 2003
Chechnya's Russia Problem
by Matthew Evangelista
"As long as President Putin insists on framing the war in Chechnya as a struggle with international terrorism . . . and as long as the West tacitly acquiesces to his approach, there may be no end to the bloodshed."

October 2003
Render Unto Caesar: Putin and the Oligarchs
by Marshall I. Goldman
"Because of the flawed manner in which the privatization process was carried out, the new owners will always lack the legitimacy necessary for a stable political climate and sustained economic investment and growth. Having constructed a faulty foundation, the builders must live with the possibility that their edifice of privatization will periodically shift and crack and may even collapse."

October 2003
Out of Communism: Reforming the Russian Legal System
by Mark Kramer
"Russia has made considerable progress toward a democratic system, but the new legal rights Russian citizens have acquired will remain precarious until a true liberal democracy is firmly in place."

October 2003
The Middle Easternization of Central Asia
by Pauline Jones Luong
"The United States will only exacerbate the threat of terrorism in Central Asia if it continues to encourage the region's leaders to combat radical Islamic groups with greater militancy rather than with increased economic opportunities and something other than rhetorical respect for human rights."

October 2003
Losing Balance: Russian Foreign Policy toward Iraq and Iran
by Mark N. Katz
"Moscow's balancing act between Washington and Baghdad [has] failed, and its balancing act between Washington and Tehran is becoming increasingly difficult to maintain. . . . [A] reluctance to establish clear priorities among competing interests threatens to undermine both its relations with the United States and its influence in a region of continuing strategic importance to Russia."

November 2002
Is There a Muslim Foreign Policy? The Case of the Caspian
by Brenda Shaffer
"If Islam is the defining force in a Muslim-populated state, then, like Samson, these states should be willing to make significant material sacrifices and take security risks to promote their religious beliefs. That has not been the case in the Muslim-dominated nations in the Caspian region."

October 2002
Putin's First Two Years: Democracy or Authoritarianism?
by Thomas M. Nichols
"Those who argue for the irreversibility of Russian democracy are on firmer ground than the critics who, while understandably concerned, have been warning repeatedly since 1991 that Russia is headed for disaster and whose predictions of doom have repeatedly gone unrealized."

October 2002
George W. Bush and Russia
by James Goldgeier and Michael McFaul
"Why the major reversal in Bush's thinking on Russia? Most have attributed this amazing transformation to September 11. . . . But September 11 is only party of the story."

October 2002
America and Russia: Make-Believe Arms Control
by Jack Mendelsohn
"By playing make-believe arms control with Moscow and negotiating a vaguely drafted and potentially contentious nuclear weapons agreement, the Bush administration has sacrificed the security of structure and predictability for the putative virtues of flexibility and unilateralism."

October 2002
America in Eurasia: One Year After
by Svante E. Cornell
"American engagement with the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia needs to be clear and predictable. The United States has the potential to play an important stabilizing role in the region, but as long as uncertainty surrounds its commitment, America's role may instead be destabilizing if other powers try to test its determination to remain engaged."

October 2002
Islamism and Anti-Americanism in Central Asia
by Edward Schatz
"The failure of Western models of economic relations and governance gave rise to calls for authentic, culturally appropriate alternatives in Central Asia-and the tapping of anti-American themes. In their recruitment efforts, [Islamists used] Soviet-era anti-Americanism as a resource, increasingly presenting images of the United States and its allies in order depict Islam as inherently peaceful, and the United States and its allies as inherently war-seeking."

October 2002
Death as a Way of Life: Russia's Demographic Decline
by David E. Powell
"The depopulation of Russia seems destined to worsen in the coming years, with major implications for the military, the workforce, personal and societal health, and even national security. . . . If current trends continue, Russians may find themselves on the endangered species list."

January 2002
The Other Allies: Russia, India, and Afghanistan's United Front
by Thomas Withington
"Russia and India can argue that without their support, the United Front would have not defeated the Taliban. . . . Because of this instrumental support, India and Russia will undoubtedly expect to have a voice in Afghanistan's future."

October 2001
Simulations of Power in Putin's Russia
by Stephen Holmes
"Although the identity of power wielders changes from year to year, we will not soon witness the emergence of a form of power accountable to ordinary Russian citizens. The state will remain detached and nonresponsive to society. It will remain a 'corporation' that, however wracked by internal struggles, basically looks after itself."

October 2001
Realistic Engagement: A New Approach to American-Russian Relations
by Michael McFaul
"Russian and American leaders have to define a United States-Russian relationship that neither rekindles cold war rivalry nor refuels illusions about alliances and special relationships. More distance than a decade ago might be healthy for the bilateral relationship. Too much distance will be dangerous."

October 2001
America, Russia, and the Future of Arms Control
by Jack Mendelsohn
"The Bush administration's national security policies . . . will severely stress United States relations with Russia and China. . . . These policies would also deal a serious blow to the international treaty regimes developed over the past 30 years to control the spread of weapons of mass destruction and that continue to enjoy universal support and approval."

October 2001
The Dilemmas of Russia's Anti-Revolutionary Revolution
by Stephen E. Hanson
"Had Western observers understood the truly revolutionary nature of communism's collapse and its aftermath, the crisis-ridden and often violent nature of Russian politics in the post-Soviet era would have come as far less of a shock. Why did we make the mistake of thinking that Russian 'reform' could unfold through ordinary, not extraordinary, means?"

October 2001
The Russian Economy: Putin's Pause
by James R. Millar
"Putin appears to have more in common with Brezhnev than with his more decisive predecessors. Khrushchev, Gorbachev, and Yeltsin risked their positions in attempts to de-Stalinize the Soviet Union. . . . Putin's rule seems to be more pause than reform, which is, incidentally, what the public wants."

October 2001
The Russian Media: From Popularity to Distrust
by Floriana Fossato
"President Putin has repeatedly said that a free press is the 'most important guarantor of the irreversibility of our country's democratic course.' Yet during the last year the Kremlin has appeared more interested in organizing a consistent flow of 'correct' information than in strengthening a free media."

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