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ISIS and the Third Wave of Jihadism
by Fawaz A. Gerges
“There is no simple or quick solution to rid the Middle East of ISIS because it is a manifestation of the breakdown of state institutions and the spread of sectarian fires in the region.”
The Saudi Thermidor
by Frederic Wehrey
“Saudi Arabia has emerged as the most vigorous stalwart of what can best be described as the reactionary period of the Arab uprisings—their 'Thermidorian' phase.”
The Silent Victory of the Israeli Settlers’ Movement
by Ami Pedahzur
“The visions of the Jewish settlers and the Palestinian Islamists regarding the future of the contested land are the epitome of fundamentalism, since they are not only mutually exclusive but also unyielding.”
Turkey at a Tipping Point
by Jenny White
“By pulling the levers of suspicion and social polarization, Erdogan appeals to the conservative nationalist core of his supporters, but he is out of touch with a large part of the population.”
Kurdish Nationalism’s Moment of Truth?
by Michael Eppel
“Prolonged instability and violence or state collapse in Syria and Iraq, as well as major changes in Turkish attitudes, may produce the right conditions for the establishment of a Kurdish state or new autonomous regions.” Third in a series on resurgent nationalism around the world.
Perspective: Obama’s Middle East Headaches
by Augustus Richard Norton
Barack Obama has tried to reduce American involvement in the region, but events keep pulling him back in. Iraq and Syria are spiraling out of control, while allies only make things worse.
Books: Syria in the Abyss
by Max Weiss
A new book by journalist Reese Erlich offers a tour of the hell that Syria has become, and an explanation of how it got there. To bring peace, he argues, foreign intervention must end.
How the Syrian Regime Outsmarted Its Enemies
by Reinoud Leenders
“The Assad government watched how uprisings unfolded in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, took stock of international reactions to these events, and, in response, developed strategies to maximize its probabilities of survival.”
The Return of Egypt’s Deep State
by Augustus Richard Norton
“Not only was the paramount role of the military unimpeded after the exit of Mubarak, but other key institutions were undiminished in their power.”
Iraq Faces the Brink Again
by Kenneth M. Pollack
“Iraq’s indigenous forces for stability seem unlikely to be able to hold the levee themselves, but among the external players only Iran, ironically, seems willing to exert itself to help avoid a catastrophe.”
Propaganda and Power in the Middle East
by Emile Nakhleh
“The youth revolts . . . have shown that while regimes might be able to play the Islamic radicalism and sectarianism cards to bolster their hold on power in the short term, this is a failing strategy in the long run.” Third in a series on soft power around the world.
Perspective: Storms of the Arab Spring
by Michele Dunne
Three years ago, the Arab people rose up to demand bread, dignity, and freedom. While reactionary forces have proven resilient, there is no going back to the old status quo.
Books: What Arabs Think
by William W. Finan, Jr.
In his new book, Shibley Telhami analyzes extensive polling data from the Middle East, finding that public opinion embraces regional uprisings but dwells on old grievances.
Syria’s Long Civil War
by Glenn E. Robinson
“Without an acknowledgment of possible defeat, neither the regime nor the opposition will accept a grand bargain in which compromise is central.”