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Global Trends

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December 2006
Energy Security: The New Threats in Latin America and Africa
by DAVID L. GOLDWYN
"The energy dependency of the United States and its allies in Europe and Asia, combined with the growing dependence of rising powers such as China and India, is rapidly eroding American power and influence around the world."

December 2005
Requiem for the Bush Doctrine
by ANDREW J. BACEVICH
"The Iraq War has revealed that the armed forces possess nothing like the depth required to implement a policy of preventive war on a sustained basis."

December 2005
The Decline of American Soft Power
by JOSHUA KURLANTZICK
"Anti-Bush administration sentiment, which developed between 2002 and 2004, has mutated and strengthened into a broader anti-Americanism."

December 2005
Controlling Global Corruption: Are We There Yet?
by MICHAEL JOHNSTON
"Neoliberal reforms do not so much end corruption as privatize it."

December 2005
Grand Goals, Modest Results: The UN in Search of Reform
by JEFFREY LAURENTI
Washington resists linking the political and military issues that Americans understand as 'security' with the economic and social issues arising from the deep poverty prevalent in four-fifths of the world's nations. Others think the linkage is obvious."

December 2005
The “Greenless” Response to Global Warming
by BYRON W. DAYNES and GLEN SUSSMAN
"Rather than working with other leaders to modify the Kyoto Protocol, President Bush has devised his own haphazard alternative, the "Clear Skies Initiative." . . . [which] calls for voluntary compliance in reducing emissions."

December 2004
The Global Liberal Order: A Progress Report
by Alan Sorensen
"As 2005 nears, the state of the world is such that desperation shadows the lives of hundreds of millions of people, yet most of them yearn for the security, freedom, and goods that citizens of affluent democracies enjoy."

December 2004
Current History's Global Progress Report
How is the world doing? A report card on the past year's major trends.

December 2004
Democracy's Sobering State
by Thomas Carothers
"Democracy still occupies the high ground in the world. . . . Yet, just a few years into the new century, the grand hope that it will prove the age of democracy's global triumph appears far more tenuous than it seemed just 10 or 15 years ago."

December 2004
Out-of-Step Policies Threaten Global Growth
by Barry Eichengreen and Yung Chul Park
"Constructive adjustments in the monetary and fiscal policy mix in Asia, the United States, and Europe would be an important step toward a healthier world economy."

December 2004
Al Qaeda and the War on Terrorism: An Update
by Bruce Hoffman
"More than three years into the global war on terrorism, the United States has no clear policy. It lacks, in turn, a sharp and well-formed strategy . . . to direct its efforts through the coming phases of what will likely prove a long struggle."

December 2004
Geopolitics Reborn: The Global Struggle over Oil and Gas Pipelines
by Michael T. Klare
"With the global flow of energy assuming ever-growing economic and strategic prominence, oil and gas pipelines in the world today have become the major focus of international geopolitical competition.\"

December 2004
Gambling with the Future
by Dick Ahlstrom
"Paul Ehrlich held that voracious consumption would leave the West reeling when essential resources ran out. Julian Simon believed that people should be allowed to consume as they like because they can rely on technology or ingenuity to find a way forward. Both were too constricted in their perspective."

December 2000
Resource Competition and World Politics in the Twenty-First Century
by Michael T. Klare
"Resource issues will likely affect world affairs significantly in the years ahead. This impact may not always take the form of discord and conflict, but will certainly demand growing attention from policymakers. Whether in the economic, environmental, or political-military area, resource concerns are certain to rise on the international policy agenda."

December 2000
The Energy Question, Again
by Vaclav Smil
"Abundant, inexpensive, and reliable energy is taken for granted, and the citizens of rich countries seem to expect this to continue indefinitely. Reality is different: this veritable fairytale is threatened by many changes-some of which are already upon us, others that are discernible on the horizon."

December 2000
The Global State of Democracy
by Larry Diamond
"The progress of democracy in the world over the last quarter-century has been nothing less than remarkable. . . . But if the reach of democracy is greater than ever, it is also thinner and more vulnerable."

December 2000
Humanitarian Intervention: The Lessons Learned
by Chantal de Jonge Oudraat
In determining how they should react to internal crises in other countries, the nations of the world need to answer three questions: "First, under what conditions should international actors intervene in internal conflicts?. . . When international action is required, which international actors should take the lead and who should participate in these operations? . . . [And third,] What are the best ways of carrying out international interventions in internal conflicts?"

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